Well, if the field hasn't been muddled enough, then the Cinematography category just made it all the more. The American Society of Cinematographers nominees are:
The Artist; Guilliaume Shiffman
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo; Jeff Cronenweth
Hugo; Robert Richardson
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy; Hoyte van Hoytema
The Tree of Life; Emmanuel Lubezki
Pretty much, four out of five of these were expected, but the fifth slot was heavily predicted to be War Horse. With snubs from the Writers Guild and Directors Guild, War Horse's chances are shrinking as each precursor goes by. It'll take serious wins in the Broadcast Film Critics and the Golden Globes to still be in this race.
Inversely, with an Art Directors Guild nomination and a strong showing at the BAFTA's long list, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy is gaining a LOT of support. Now, whether or not it'll transfer over to major nominees like acting, screenplay or picture, some technical categories seem assured. There was once a time that what was nominated for Cinematography would also get nominated for Art Direction and I think it has a really strong chance to be nominated for both categories if not one.
So, my predictions for Cinematography this year are:
The Artist
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
The Tree of Life
War Horse
I'm still expecting War Horse to walk away with at least a few nominations with Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy having a strong chance to upset here.
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